Baker Weather - Special Cases

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND
WILL DISSIPATE DURING THE EARLY TO MID EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA BACK
TO THE WEST AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.  THE
LATEST FORECAST TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS FAY
PASSING ALONG OR JUST OFF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SATURDAY...MOVING INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
EARLY ON SUNDAY.

ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE PRIMARY HAZARD WOULD BE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  IT IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION WE COULD SEE SOME 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER SOME
AREAS...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IMPACTS
STARTING SATURDAY NIGHT AND LINGERING THROUGH MONDAY...WITH
WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS CONTINUING WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT OVER THE LAND AREAS...FAY
COULD PRODUCE EXTENDED PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS FROM 30 TO 35 KNOTS
OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AS
WELL AS ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF BEACHES.  MARINE
INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE FORECAST TRACK OF FAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THIS FORECAST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
WEEKEND.  ANY LARGE DEVIATION...ESPECIALLY A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK
WITH FAY...WILL RESULT IN A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM AND WILL HAVE
GREATER IMPACTS ON OUR LOCAL FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND.  STAY TUNED
FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.  ACTIVATION MAY
BE NEEDED THIS WEEKEND.