Avilla Weather - Special Cases

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES.

AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
MID AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI.

DISCUSSION:

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH SOUTHEAST TODAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY AFFECT LOCATIONS
NORTH OF A WARSAW TO SALEM LINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

OTHER ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE
POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REST
OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTH
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. OTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG AND WEST
OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY...SO TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER LOCALIZED AREAS.

ANOTHER COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT ACROSS KANSAS AND NEBRASKA. THIS COMPLEX WILL MOVE OFF TO
THE SOUTHEAST AND MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE
TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION...AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS
AND FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI WILL APPROACH THE 100 DEGREE MARK
AGAIN TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON ALMOST A DAILY BASIS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SEVERAL UPPER DISTURBANCES
WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA AND INTERACT WITH THE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO GENERATE THE SCATTERED STORMS.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN WESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS WILL APPROACH THE 100 TO 104 DEGREE RANGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)